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2017 AMC 12B Problem 10

Problem 10 of 25EasierCounting & Probability

At Typico High School, 60%60\% of the students like dancing, and the rest dislike it. Of those who like dancing, 80%80\% say that they like it, and the rest say that they dislike it. Of those who dislike dancing, 90%90\% say that they dislike it, and the rest say that they like it. What fraction of students who say they dislike dancing actually like it?

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Solution

Students who like dancing but say they dislike it make up 60%20%=12%60\% \cdot 20\% = 12\% of all students. Students who dislike dancing and say so make up 40%90%=36%.40\% \cdot 90\% = 36\%. Among everyone who says they dislike dancing, the fraction who actually like it is 1212+36=1248=14=25%.\frac{12}{12 + 36} = \frac{12}{48} = \frac{1}{4} = 25\%. Thus, the correct answer is D.

More practice

Concepts: conditional probability · Bayes’ Theorem

Problem text and solution from the LIVE past-contest archive. See also the AoPS wiki page for community solutions.