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2005 AMC 10B Problem 21

Problem 21 of 25HarderCounting & Probability

Forty slips are placed into a hat, each bearing a number 1,1, 2,2, 3,3, 4,4, 5,5, 6,6, 7,7, 8,8, 9,9, or 10,10, with each number entered on four slips. Four slips are drawn from the hat at random and without replacement. Let pp be the probability that all four slips bear the same number. Let qq be the probability that two of the slips bear a number aa and the other two bear a number ba.b \ne a. What is the value of qp?\dfrac{q}{p}?

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Solution

Both events draw from (404)\binom{40}{4} equally likely selections, so qp\dfrac{q}{p} is the ratio of their favorable counts. Exactly 1010 draws give four slips of the same number, one for each value. For two aa’s and two bb’s, choose the two values in (102)\binom{10}{2} ways, then two of the four aa-slips and two of the four bb-slips: (102)(42)(42)=4566=1620. \begin{aligned} \binom{10}{2}\binom{4}{2}\binom{4}{2} &= 45 \cdot 6 \cdot 6 \\ &= 1620. \end{aligned} Therefore qp=162010=162.\dfrac{q}{p} = \dfrac{1620}{10} = 162. Thus, A is the correct answer.

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Concepts: basic probability · combinations · sampling without replacement

Problem text and solution from the LIVE past-contest archive. See also the AoPS wiki page for community solutions.