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2016 AMC 12A Problem 13

Problem 13 of 25IntermediateAlgebraCounting & Probability

Let NN be a positive multiple of 5.5. One red ball and NN green balls are arranged in a line in random order. Let P(N)P(N) be the probability that at least 35\dfrac{3}{5} of the green balls are on the same side of the red ball. Observe that P(5)=1P(5)=1 and that P(N)P(N) approaches 45\dfrac{4}{5} as NN grows large. What is the sum of the digits of the least value of NN such that P(N)<321400?P(N)\lt\dfrac{321}{400}?

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Solution

Write N=5k.N=5k. Number the positions of the red ball 0,1,,5k0,1,\ldots,5k from one end; there are 5k+15k+1 equally likely positions. Fewer than 35\dfrac{3}{5} of the green balls lie on each side exactly when the red ball is in one of the positions 2k+1,2k+2,,3k1,2k+1,2k+2,\ldots,3k-1, which is k1k-1 positions. Hence P(N)=1k15k+1=4k+25k+1. P(N)=1-\dfrac{k-1}{5k+1}=\dfrac{4k+2}{5k+1}. Solving 4k+25k+1<321400\dfrac{4k+2}{5k+1}\lt\dfrac{321}{400} gives 400(4k+2)<321(5k+1),400(4k+2)\lt 321(5k+1), so 1600k+800<1605k+3211600k+800\lt 1605k+321 and 5k>479,5k\gt 479, meaning k>95.8.k\gt 95.8. Thus k=96k=96 and N=480,N=480, whose digit sum is 4+8+0=12.4+8+0=12. Thus, the correct answer is A.

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Concepts: basic probability · inequality

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