2010 AMC 12A Problem 19
Problem 19 of 25HarderAlgebraCounting & Probability
Each of boxes in a line contains a single red marble, and for the box in the th position also contains white marbles. Isabella begins at the first box and successively draws a single marble at random from each box, in order. She stops when she first draws a red marble. Let be the probability that Isabella stops after drawing exactly marbles. What is the smallest value of for which
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Solution
Since there are marbles in the th box, there is a chance Isabella draws a white marble from it.
The probability of drawing a red marble is then To stop after drawing the th marble, the first marbles must have been white.
This happens with a probability of
Note that all the numerators cancel with the adjacent denominator, which means that this expression reduces to
We have to find the smallest such that
Since but the smallest such is
Thus, A is the correct answer.