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2017 AMC 12A Problem 25

Problem 25 of 25HarderAlgebraCounting & Probability

The vertices VV of a centrally symmetric hexagon in the complex plane are given by V={2i,  2i,18(1+i),18(1+i),18(1i),18(1i)}. V=\left\{\begin{gathered} \sqrt2 i,\;-\sqrt2 i, \\ \tfrac{1}{\sqrt8}(1+i), \\ \tfrac{1}{\sqrt8}(-1+i), \\ \tfrac{1}{\sqrt8}(1-i), \\ \tfrac{1}{\sqrt8}(-1-i) \end{gathered}\right\}. For each j,j, 1j12,1\le j\le12, an element zjz_j is chosen from VV at random, independently of the other choices. Let P=j=112zjP=\prod_{j=1}^{12}z_j be the product of the 1212 numbers selected. What is the probability that P=1?P=-1?

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Solution

Let A={2i,2i}A=\{\sqrt2 i,-\sqrt2 i\} (each of magnitude 2\sqrt2) and BB be the other four elements (each of magnitude 12\dfrac12). Since P=(2)#A(12)#B=1|P|=(\sqrt2)^{\#A}\left(\tfrac12\right)^{\#B}=1 forces #A=8\#A=8 and #B=4,\#B=4, exactly 88 factors must come from AA and 44 from B.B. A product of 88 elements of AA equals ±16\pm16 (real), and a product of 44 elements of BB equals one of ±116,±i16.\pm\tfrac{1}{16},\pm\tfrac{i}{16}. Their product is one of ±1,±i,\pm1,\pm i, each equally likely, so exactly 14\tfrac14 of these configurations give P=1.P=-1. The chance of landing in the 88-from-AA, 44-from-BB pattern is (124)(13)8(23)4=880310.\binom{12}{4}\left(\tfrac13\right)^8\left(\tfrac23\right)^4=\dfrac{880}{3^{10}}. Multiplying by 14\tfrac14 gives P=14880310=220310=22511310. \begin{aligned} P&=\dfrac{1}{4}\cdot\dfrac{880}{3^{10}} \\ &=\dfrac{220}{3^{10}}=\dfrac{2^2\cdot5\cdot11}{3^{10}}. \end{aligned} Thus, the correct answer is E.

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Concepts: complex number · binomial probability

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